Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in any case?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Useful and obviously the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that maybe what your problem is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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